College Football Week 11 Betting Picks: What Sides Are Sharps on?
The sharps still failed to get the best of the sportsbooks last week, going 2-2 ATS in college football betting. In Week 11, they will look to get back to their winning ways. Here are three games they are backing strong at the counters here in Vegas on Saturday…
NCAA SATURDAY 11/9/2019
161 Baylor -2.5 @ 162 TCU (48)
Baylor (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS); TCU (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Baylor should be highly motivated to get a signature win as it is currently ranked No. 12 in the CFP standings behind a pair of two-loss SEC schools (Florida and Auburn) as well as four one-loss teams (Georgia, Oregon, Utah and Oklahoma). Baylor will also have revenge on its mind as the last team to beat the Bears was TCU last season by a score of 16-9. The sharps see a big advantage on the sidelines with one of the most underrated coaches in the nation in Baylor’s Matt Rhule. TCU’s starting quarterback Max Duggan is banged up and that could spell disaster for a Horned Frogs offense going up against a Bears defense that just held West Virginia to 219 total yards of offense. Lay the short number with confidence.
- Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games
- TCU is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games
- TCU is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 conference games
- The road team is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 meetings between these two schools
- The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings
- Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 meetings at Amon G. Carter Stadium
- Baylor is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 meetings with TCU
THE PLAY: Baylor -2.5
168 LSU +6 @ 169 Alabama (63)
LSU (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS); Alabama (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS)
This is easily the game of the year in College Football. All you hear walking around sportsbooks here in Vegas, as well as every media outlet that has a platform, is that LSU is going to win. Saturday’s SEC monster showdown between No. 2 LSU and No. 3 Alabama is a clear “Pros versus Joes” contest as nearly 70% of public money is on the Tigers. Sports bettors are never given the opportunity to back Nick Saban as an underdog, so the next best betting angle is when books offer the Crimson Tide at less than a touchdown favorite. The biggest question mark heading into the game is the health of Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa, who is nursing a high ankle sprain suffered three weeks ago against Tennessee. With all the hype surrounding LSU and the outstanding play of QB Joe Burrow, combined with Tua being less than a 100%, this has all arrows pointing in the Tigers’ direction. However, Saban has owned LSU in the last six games ATS and his teams are cashing at an outstanding 78% ATS clip coming off the bye. The sharps are laying the -6 in this one, but my advice is to keep an eye on in-play wagering menus where you may get some juicy numbers to get down on.