Week 2 DraftKings Picks: Best lineup stacks for NFL DFS tournaments, cash games
Week 2 of the NFL DFS slate for 2019 is setting up to be an excellent one, and there are a ton of different directions that you can go for your DraftKings stacks. This week features seven teams that are really standing out at first glance with the Raiders, Chiefs, Rams, Saints, Patriots, Vikings and Packers all being in nice spots. I’m going to key in on a few stacks from those teams listed, as well as dive into two other stacks that offer excellent value at their daily fantasy football price points.
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Week 2 NFL DFS Strategy: Top DraftKings stacks for cash games
QB Derek Carr and TE Darren Waller, Raiders vs. Chiefs
In cash games this week, I want to spend down at the quarterback position to help allow me to jam in one of the top-end running backs (Kamara, Barkley, or Elliott), and two of the high-end wide receivers. One of the quarterbacks that I’m considering is Raiders signal-caller Carr, who has an excellent matchup against the Chiefs at home. Carr is extremely cheap across the industry — $5,100 on DraftKings and $6,600 on FanDuel – in a game that sets up for him to throw upwards of 40 times with the Raiders coming in as plus-7.5 home underdogs. At his price point, Carr should easily go 4x his salary on DraftKings and 3x his on FanDuel, which is more than good enough for him to make the cut as a cash game quarterback. Carr went for 285 passing yards and 3 touchdowns when the Chiefs came to Oakland last season and if last week was any indication, this year’s version of the Chiefs passing defense is no better than what it was last season.
The pairing for Carr is a three-man race between Josh Jacobs, Tyrell Williams, and Waller. While I really like the touch floor of Jacobs and the big-play upside of Williams, I’m going to go with Waller. Not only is Waller extremely cheap ($3,300 on DraftKings and $5,400 on FanDuel), but he also looks like the top option in the Raiders passing attack. Waller led the team with eight targets last week against the Broncos, and he should feast against a Chiefs defense that ranked dead last against opposing tight ends in 2018.
QB Josh Allen and WR John Brown, Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants
Allen already made the cut in my core plays for the week, and he is also the other cheap quarterback option that I’m looking at in cash games. Allen certainly has his flaws as a real-life quarterback, but his skill set of deep passing with great rushing ability is a perfect fit for DFS lineups. We saw this combo in action last week as he rushed for a short touchdown and also threw a 38-yard strike to Brown for a touchdown late in the second half. There are so many ‘outs’ for Allen to reach his salary expectations that he is hard to pass up on a week-to-week basis – you can think of him as a discounted Lamar Jackson or Cam Newton.
The matchup with the Giants also couldn’t be much better after they were diced up by the Cowboys in Week 1. It’s clear that the New York defense is going to struggle this season, and Allen is likely to be the next player to take advantage. This could very well be one of those ceiling-type games for Allen, who we know has 30-plus fantasy point upside.
Speaking on John Brown, he is the clear top option to stack with Allen if you want to exploit the Giants secondary. He has seen his price raise across the DFS industry, but he may still be too cheap considering he is the clear number one option in the Bills passing offense. The Giants let all three of Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and even Randall Cobb get loose last week. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott didn’t have to throw into many tight windows all afternoon long. Brown has a nice combination of a high floor given his target projection and a high ceiling with his deep-play ability.
Week 2 DraftKings Picks: Best stacks for daily fantasy football GPPs/tournaments
QB Ben Roethlisberger and WR JuJu Smith-Shuster, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Seattle Seahawks
This is a great week for contrarian GPP stacks. There are a number of high total games, including the Chiefs-Raiders (53), Rams-Saints (53), Patriots-Dolphins (48), and Chargers-Lions (48) that all make for attractive game stacks. However, I’m going to look outside of those games and try and find a few offenses who struggled in Week 1 who are good bounce-back candidates.
The first is going to be the Steelers, who host the Seahawks at home as four-point favorites. The entire Steelers offense looked terrible against the Patriots on Sunday night, but this is a great get-right game against a Seahawks defense that looks like it is going to struggle against the pass after allowing Andy Dalton to throw for 418 yards and two touchdowns last week. Roethlisberger has always played his best fantasy games at home over his career despite having a better plus-minus on the road in 2018. Big Ben is also extremely underpriced this week, especially on DraftKings where he comes in at only $5,800. In three games last season when he was priced $6,000 or less, he averaged 25.7 DK points — good for an absurd plus-minus of plus-9.1.
The pairing with Roethlisberger is also a no-brainer with Smith-Schuster. JuJu is coming off one of his worst games since his rookie season and is dealing with a toe injury, but I’m not concerned. He should be able to exploit the matchup against the Seahawks, and I would not be shocked to see him push for 15 targets in this game after the combination of Donte Moncrief and James Washington were huge disappointments last week. Finally, just like Roethlisberger, JuJu is underpriced on DraftKings at $7,500. In 11 games last season in which he was priced under $7,600, he averaged 20.7 DK points which equaled out to a plus-minus of plus-6.0.
QB Jared Goff and WR Brandin Cooks (Los Angeles Rams) vs. RB Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints)
The final stack of the week might be a little bit chalky, but I believe it would be foolish to fade in tournaments if you are mass multi-entering. The Rams-Saints rematch from the controversial NFC Championship game has the highest total of the week at 53 points, and it’s hard for me to see an early season tilt between the two best offenses in the NFC not being a back and forth shootout. I especially like the Rams side of the ball, and I can make a case to play every one of their skill position players. Even Todd Gurley is a very interesting play at his lowered price point, and I like the idea of playing him on the opposite side of Saints stacks. However, my preferred method of attack in this game is a Goff-Cooks stack and then running it back with Kamara.
Jared Goff looked terrible last week against the Panthers, but he is a player who has always performed his best at home in high total matchups. Goff had a plus-minus differential of plus-10.4 at home versus the road in 2018 and averaged 26.1 DK points in five home games that had a closing total of 50 or more points.
You can comfortably stack Goff with any combination of Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and Cooks, but I’m going with Cooks for tournaments. The former Saints speedster had similar splits as Goff last season, with a plus-minus differential of +6.0 at home versus the road and he averaged 19.6 DK points in home games with a closing total of 50 of higher. Kupp and Woods are both better cash game plays, but neither of them has the game-breaking ability that Cooks has to take a pass 60-plus yards to the house. Cooks also had more 20-plus fantasy point games (7) than Kupp or Woods had combined (5) in 2018.
Finally, I want to add a Saints player to this stack, and Alvin Kamara is the preferred option. Kamara was extremely consistent on the road last year, posting a plus-minus of plus-7.4, which was 3.0 better than what he did at home. Virtually every Saints matchup is going to have a high total and Kamara unsurprisingly thrived when they had a closing total of 53 points or higher, posting a plus-minus of plus-7.1 in 11 games.
There’s plenty of strategy that goes into putting together a winning DFS lineup, and the best place to start is RotoQL’s DFS tools. RotoQL’s Lineup Optimizer is a massive advantage when you’re building lineups, regardless of contest size or site.