John Deere Classic daily fantasy golf picks, sleepers, fades, strategy
The biggest question facing DFS players this week is how to approach an incredibly weak field. There are no recognizable studs at the top of the pricing scale, and the three most expensive golfers available didn’t even start playing on the PGA Tour until the middle of this season.
Suffice it to say, there’s a lot of uncertainty at TPC Deere Run. Beyond diversification, the best way to counterbalance the unpredictability this week is by targeting cheaper golfers who have strong track records but are likely to be low-owned.
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John Deere Classic picks and PGA DFS strategy
Nobody gets too excited about rostering Taylor, but I think he is a strong play this week. Taylor hasn’t missed a single cut in his last six tournaments, racking up two top-25 and a top-10 finish. That’s appealing form for a three-time PGA Tour winner at well below average salary. While Taylor’s complete lack of driving distance is typically a concern, it shouldn’t be too much of an issue at TPC Deere Run, as shorter hitters have historically seen plenty of success at the course. In fact, Taylor may have a statistical edge, as he ranks fifth on tour in strokes gained: putting, a factor that tends to have far more significance at this event. Despite Taylor’s usual lack of firepower, the upside is there this week.
Perez has had a quiet season, but that doesn’t mean he should be ignored at a low price in a weak field. Like Taylor, Perez has won three times on the PGA Tour. However, Perez isn’t coming into this week quite as hot. He hasn’t been bad recently, but he also hasn’t been all that good, with his only result better than tied-for-53rd coming five tournaments ago. That said, he has only missed one cut in his last eight, and he does have three top-10 finishes on the season. There’s nothing too flashy about Perez, but this should be a course he can tackle. At minimal ownership, Perez is an excellent, battle-tested target.
Finishing off the trio of cheap three-time PGA Tour winners, Vegas is likely to fly under the radar. He’s historically a volatile golfer, but for a cheap price in an unpredictable field, he’s worth targeting. His current form is horrendous however, missing three straight cuts and four of his last five.
Still, Vegas has a history of coming right off missed cuts and churning out terrific results, like he did in February when he came off a brutal missed cut to rattle off six straight results of at least a 30th-place finish, which includes two top-10 placements. Outside of his general propensity to bounce back, Vegas is just too cheap, given his longterm results compared to the field. Don’t let his recent form scare you off from rostering this dangerously low-priced golfer.