Fantasy golf picks rbc heritage

RBC Heritage picks, sleepers for daily fantasy golf contests and betting advice

Before we break down the RBC Heritage, let’s take one more moment to look back on our huge win last week with Tiger Woods. Tiger’s victory last week at Augusta will go down as one of the greatest comebacks in sports history and betting on him at 14/1 is just the icing on the cake. We’ve now hit two winners in the last three weeks — Woods at 14/1 and Kevin Kisner at 66/1 at the WGC-Match Play — so followers of this article should have their bankroll set for the rest of the season (and be doing well in daily fantasy golf). With that being said, let’s try to keep things rolling this week at the RBC Heritage.

The RBC Heritage is played at the Pete Dye designed Harbour Town Golf Links, which measures out to a 7,100-yard, Par-71 layout. Harbour Town is a classic Pete Dye design in that it rewards precision over power and is one of the more difficult courses on tour. Harbour Town is a tight course, with tree-lined fairways, deep bunkers, and the smallest greens on the entire Tour. Most players will look to club down off the tee to try and keep the ball in the fairway and out of the trees. This will leave the majority of approach shots within the 175-225-yard range for the majority of the field, so key in on that yardage range for your strokes gained: approach models. As I mentioned, the greens at Harbour Town are incredibly small, so even the best of ball strikings are bound to miss a few greens; making scrambling and strokes gained: around the green two of the most important statistics to focus on.

There is certainly a ‘type” of golfer that tends to win at this event with shorter, accuracy-based players who have great short games usually playing well. We can clearly see this when we list off the last few winners of this event: Satoshi Kodaira, Wesley Bryan, Branden Grace, Jim Furyk, Matt Kuchar, Graeme McDowell, Carl Pettersson, Brandt Snedeker, and Jim Furyk. So, while this event is surprisingly loaded with some nice talent, including Dustin Johnson, Francesco Molinari, Xander Schauffelle, Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, and Jordan Spieth, don’t be afraid to go deeper down the card and look for players who fit the course mold a little bit better.

Before we get into this week’s picks, we have to point out that plenty of strategy goes into cashing winning DFS lineups and winning betting tickets. By now you should know the best place to start is RotoQL’s DFS tools and the BetQL Mobile App. Our easy-to-use RotoQL PGA Lineup Optimizer gives you a big advantage when you’re putting together DFS lineups, and our BetQL Trending Picks and Public Betting tools provide a massive edge when you’re making bets, regardless of bankroll size.

I’m always ready to help, too, so check me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy content and gambling advice.

Strokes Gained: Approach
Driving Accuracy
Par 4 Scoring

RBC Heritage picks (Daily Fantasy Golf)

DFS Core Plays to Consider:

Top Tier: Xander Schauffele, Matt Kuchar, Patrick Cantlay, Webb Simpson

Mid-Tier: Si-Woo Kim, Sungjae Im, Branden Grace, Cam Smith, Russell Knox

Value Plays: Emiliano Grillo, Matt Wallace, Russell Henley, Trey Mullinax, Brian Gay

RBC Heritage betting advice

Outright Bets to Consider

This is a week where I’m going to completely fade the top of this field and look to take some shots on players with deeper odds. We see deeper winners of this event virtually every season, and there is a ton of value to be had taking four-to-six players in the 40/1-and-over range. Starting us off will be Kim. Kim is a player who I love to take on accuracy-based courses, and he has a great track record on Pete Dye layouts. He posted a second-place finish last season, and many people forget that despite being a poor putter, he has one of the best short games on the PGA Tour. Odds of 45/1 are great value for a player who has won in elite fields in the past and is an ideal course fit.

Russell Knox 55/1

Knox is another player who is a great course fit for Harbour Town and who has an excellent track record at Pete Dye courses. Knox isn’t long off the tee, but he is pretty accurate, which translates well for this layout. Knox posted a T2 finish here in 2016, so we know the upside is there. Getting 55/1 is nice value for a multiple PGA Tour winner.

Matt Wallace 80/1

Wallace struggled in his Masters debut last week, but we are going to get him at great 80/1 value this week at Harbour Town. This is a bet based on pure talent, and 80/1 in this field is just too low for someone who has multiple wins on the European tour over the past 24 months. I also like adding in a top-10 bet at +800.

List is a guy who I never play in DFS and will rarely bet on, but this is the perfect type of event/course at which he can finally get that breakthrough win. Despite being extremely long off the tee, List typically performs better at shorter courses where he is forced to club down off the tee, and he has a nice track record at Pete Dye courses over his career, including a T3 showing here last year.

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