Nfl picks randall the handle


Published: November 7, 2019

Updated: November 7, 2019 7:46 PM EST

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Bills (6-2) at Browns (2-6)


The Browns have been favoured four times this season and they earned just one win and cover in that set, coming against the sad-sack Jets. Not only did Cleveland not cover any of the other three games, it lost all three of them outright. No wonder. The team that entered the 2019 season with such lofty expectations has proven to have the discipline of an unchaperoned five-year-old at a birthday party. The Browns are the most-penalized team in the league with 75 fouls. QB Baker Mayfield is tied with Jameis Winston for most interceptions at 12 each. After a banner rookie season, Mayfield has regressed and his mental state is clearly affected as well. It is unreasonable to think that this team, with its poor coaching and lack of productivity, can suddenly turn things around and defeat a 6-2 Buffalo team, especially by a required margin. While the Bills’ record is inflated by having faced weak opponents, this host falls into that same category. The Bills are 5-0-1 vs. points in their previous six road games.

Cardinals (3-5-1) at Buccaneers (2-6)


The Buccaneers haven’t won a game since their 55-40 eruption over the Rams in late September. In their defence, the Bucs had to deal with other NFC contenders after that victory which included the Saints, Panthers and Seahawks. Facing a lesser foe could produce a much-needed outbreak. Despite their best efforts, the Cardinals are weak defensively. Arizona has allowed the most yards in the league, letting opponents gain a whopping 407 yards per game. Much of that comes from a leaky pass defence, also having relinquished the most yardage to date. Despite its poor record, Tampa’s aerial game is as dangerous as any team’s. If Winston can avoid blunders, his guys should see plenty of end zone on this day. Motivation won’t be an issue either as Bruce Arians gets his first crack at his ex-employers and so do some of the coaching staff he brought along with him. In one of many scheduling quirks we’ve seen this season, this will also be Tampa’s first home game since Sept. 22, a span of six weeks.


Seahawks (7-2) at 49ers (8-0)


The Seahawks are underdogs for just the third time this season and for the first time in the past four weeks. This a role that Pete Carroll’s club relishes. Seattle has enjoyed straight-up wins when taking points this season. As a dog, Seattle owns a 13-5-2 spread mark over its past 20. Rarely do the Seabirds get blown out and seldom do they trample opponents. In fact, the visitor and the underdog are 9-2 against the spread (ATS) in Seattle’s previous 11 games. Seattle will obviously be stoked for this one. They get a shot at their unbeaten division rivals on a Monday night for all to see. They have been the dominant team in this series, winning 10 of the previous 11. The 49ers’ lone win in that set required overtime last December. QB Russell Wilson is having an MVP-type season with his 22 touchdown passes and just one interception. Let’s not take anything away from the Niners. With balance on both sides of the ball, they are legit. Even so, you just know they’ll have their hands full here. We’re banking on it.



N.Y. Giants (2-7) at N.Y. Jets (1-7)


No real home-team advantage in this one as both host in this stadium and advantage is not a word that either club can associate with amid this miserable season. As difficult as it has been for the Giants, it has been even worse for the Jets. This green New York team just lost to the winless Dolphins. The Fish don’t really want to win games, but even that didn’t help a lame Jets squad last week. For a team that barely competes, the Jets are also extremely banged up. There are subs in all over the place. Adding to their woes, RB Le’Veon Bell has a wonky knee and may not participate. The Giants have enough personnel to do some damage here. Rookie QB Daniel Jones is subject to beginner mistakes but he is adept enough to exploit this opponent’s weak spots.

Falcons (1-7) at Saints (7-1)


The Falcons didn’t have to dress up for Halloween in order to scare people during their week off. Usually, we’d give a divisional foe with some offensive capabilities a lean when placed in this price range. However, New Orleans’ defence is strong enough to contain this familiar offence while the same cannot be said in return. Atlanta’s defenders have given up an alarming 151 points in their past four games. It’s unreasonable to think that it can keep Drew Brees and his offence from scoring at will. Not only is New Orleans rested for this one, it will also get one of its offensive weapons returning as RB Alvin Kamara is expected to play after healing from an ankle issue. The Saints are on a 6-2 run both straight up and versus spread against this division mate. The Falcons have failed to cover in their previous six road games.


Ravens (6-2) at Bengals (0-8)


We are not going to detract much from Baltimore’s impressive win over the Patriots on Sunday night. It was a well-earned victory and one that confirms the Ravens as serious AFC contenders. What it also does is allow us to take advantage of a national TV overreaction. Few want to go against Lamar Jackson after witnessing that previous game. Even fewer want any part of the winless Bengals. However, Cincinnati has opted to go with rookie fourth-round pick Ryan Finley coming out of their break to replace a stale Andy Dalton. Do note that first-time starters are a perfect 9-0 ATS this season. Baltimore can easily suffer a letdown here after wallowing in their victory over the Patriots and hearing all the accolades that accompany it. Teams that have played New England this season have just one cover in eight tries following that matchup.


Panthers (5-3) at Packers (7-2)


While Green Bay’s record is respectable, its run defence is not. That unit has been getting gashed recently and that won’t bode well against the most-feared runner in the league right now. Carolina’s Christian McCaffrey owns the most all-purpose yards to go along with the most touchdowns league-wide. After dropping its first two games of the season with a damaged Cam Newton at quarterback, the Panthers have won five of six with their only loss being at the hands of the undefeated 49ers. Kyle Allen has not been spectacular but he has been reliable, aided by McCaffrey’s backfield skills. We expect Green Bay to bounce back from a terrible performance in Los Angeles last week vs. Chargers, but that doesn’t mean it will be enough. Carolina can keep close here. The Panthers have thrived as underdogs with 13 covers in past 20 when taking points.


Lions (3-4-1) at Bears (3-5)


These Bears really are bad news. Division winners a year ago, things have gone noticeably south on this perceived contender. Weak quarterback play and poor coaching is largely to blame. Some relief could occur here. Aside from Chicago’s offensive ineptitude, its run defence has become an issue that has hurt this squad recently. The Lions don’t pose that threat with the absence of Kerryon Johnson. That puts the onus clearly on the arm of Matthew Stafford and, while the veteran pivot has grown accustomed to that pressure over the years, he may have a hard time exploiting this capable secondary. Let’s not forget that the Lions are a sub-.500 team that is only a half-game better than this host with the Leos’ only win in their past five being a close one against the Giants.

Dolphins (1-7) at Colts (5-3)


After starting the season 0-4, losing by a combined 143-46, the Fins were the laughingstock of football. Well, guess what? Miami has quietly covered four straight since then, including their first win last week against the Jets. We’re not foolish enough to think that Miami is suddenly a strong club, but contrary to rumours and innuendo, these Fish are clearly not tanking. Say what you’d like about QB Ryan Fitzpatrick but, if nothing else, he is a gamer while lifting spirits on this losing club. He can also throw the football with some authority, unfortunately to the wrong team at times. The Colts are a hard-working bunch but they are hurting as top receiver T.Y. Hilton is out and QB Jacoby Brissett has a sore knee. Besides, when is the last time Indianapolis defeated any team by 10 or more points? It certainly hasn’t happened this year.


Rams (5-3) at Steelers (4-4)

LINE: L.A. RAMS by 3½

This is a fine spot to fade the Steelers. Pittsburgh is fresh off an improbable win last week over an AFC foe in a game that saw every break go its way, including a missed Adam Vinatieri field goal to preserve the win. The Steelers have three consecutive division games after this one, beginning on Thursday with a road stint at Cleveland. While the Steelers have entered the wild-card race after a slow start, it is common for teams to let down against out-of-conference opponents. Pittsburgh figures to be up against it here. QB Mason Rudolph is strictly game-manager material. That is problematic when thin at running back with James Conner sidelined. In addition, L.A. has shored up its secondary with the shrewd acquisition of CB Jalen Ramsey. The Rams have been sluggish at times, but they have covered six consecutive road games.

Vikings (6-3) at Cowboys (5-3)


It would not be a huge surprise to see either of these teams make it to the Super Bowl. Nor would it be a shock if either club were to miss the playoffs. The inconsistencies present challenges for endorsing either squad here. Who shows up today? Seeing that the Vikings can be excused for losing a close one on the road in Kansas City last week after winning four straight prior and that Dallas is playing this one on a short week while having to give away points to a dangerous opponent, Minnesota appears to be a reasonable choice. Of course, there is caution as Kirk Cousin’s prime-time record is abysmal (5-12 lifetime, 1-3 as a Viking) but his recent numbers have been outstanding. Dallas’ wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-33, including the Giants twice, Dolphins and Redskins while losing to Jets.


Chiefs (6-3) at Titans (4-5)

Game is off the board as the status of Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes is undetermined.

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