Ufc 230 vegas odds

UFC 230 Odds, Predictions, DraftKings Salaries And Picks

On Saturday, “The Black Beast” Derrick Lewis will get an opportunity to dethrone an all-time great in UFC heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier.

NEW YORK, NY – OCTOBER 31: UFC light heavyweight and heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier holds an . [+] open workout for fans and media at Madison Square Garden on October 31, 2018 in New York City. (Photo by Ed Mulholland/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

Unfortunately, almost no one gives Lewis a chance to pull off the monumental upset. That bout sits at the top of the UFC 230 card which will take place at Madison Square Garden. The winner will likely get a title defense against Brock Lesnar, and the massive payday that comes along with him in 2019.

Here’s a look at the UFC 230 card with odds, predictions and DraftKings picks.

Matchup Weight Class Odds DraftKings Salary Prediction DraftKings Pick?
Daniel Cormier vs Derrick Lewis Heavyweight Lewis +525, Cormier -750 Cormier $9,600, Lewis $6,600 Cormier by TKO Cormier
Chris Weidman vs Ronaldo Souza Middleweight Weidman -180, Souza +160 Weidman $8,500, Souza $7,700 Souza by SD
David Branch vs Jared Cannonier Middleweight Cannonier +350, Branch -450 Branch $9,300, Cannonier $6,900 Branch by UD
Karl Roberson vs Jack Marshman Middleweight Marshman +225, Roberson -270 Roberson $8,700, Marshman $7,500 Roberson by TKO Roberson
Derek Brunson vs Israel Adesanya Middleweight Brunson +260, Adesanya -320 Adesanya $9,100, Brunson $7,100 Adesanya by TKO Adesanya
Jason Knight vs Jordan Rinaldi Featherweight Rinaldi +225, Knight -265 Knight $8,800, Rinaldi $7,400 Knight by UD
Sijara Eubanks vs Roxanne Modafferi Flyweight Modafferi +425, Eubanks -550 Eubanks $9,400, Modafferi $6,800 Modaferri by SUB Modaferri
Julio Arce vs Sheymon Moraes Featherweight Moraes +300, Arce -360 Arce $9,200, Moraes $7,000 Arce by TKO
Ben Saunders vs Lyman Good Welterweight NA Good $9,500, Saunders $6,700 Good by TKO
Matt Frevola vs Lando Vannata Lightweight Frevola +260, Vannata -320 Vannata $8,900, Frevola $7,300 Vannata by TKO
Shane Burgos vs Kurt Holobaugh Featherweight Burgos -320, Holobaugh +250 Burgos $9,000, Holobaugh $7,200 Burgos by UD
Brian Kelleher vs Montel Jackson Bantamweight Kelleher +120, Jackson -140 Kelleher $7,900, Jackson $8,300 Kelleher by SUB Kelleher
Adam Wieczorek vs Marcos Rogério de Lima Heavyweight Wieczorek -260, Rogerio De Lima +220 Wieczorek $8,600, Rogerio de Lima $7,600 de Lima by TKO de Lima

Tons of Lopsided Matchups on Paper

There are a ton of major underdogs on this card. In fact, there are four fighters who are +300 underdogs or higher. That’s an unusually high number. You can really see the gaps when looking at DraftKings salaries. Usually, you see matchups with fighters who both have $8,100, or at least with DK salaries within $2-$4,000 of their opponent. For UFC 230, there is just one bout with that level of closeness.

This event is feast or famine, which could make it difficult to select a lineup.

Live Dog

NEW YORK, NY – NOVEMBER 1: Roxanne Modafferi interacts with media during the UFC 230 ultimate media . [+] day at New York Marriott Marquis on November 1, 2018 in New York City. (Photo by Ed Mulholland/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

It’s hard to count Roxanne Modafferi out. Her limited athleticism and less-than ferocious demeanor is the formula for constant underestimation, but her ground skills are for real. Modaferri draws the mildly overrated Sijara Eubanks on Saturday. The odds seem a little wide in favor of Eubanks.

Modafferi had lost four fights in a row before scoring a second-round TKO win over Barb Honchak in July. Modafferi showed excellent growth as a striker in that bout, and her ground game is slick and layered.

I believe there is a chance she could catch a potentially overconfident Eubanks by surprise–especially if she can get the fight to the ground. Modafferi generated 113 fantasy points in her win over Honchak. If she beats Eubanks, Modafferi could create another booming fantasy output.

DK Sleepers

ORLANDO, FL – FEBRUARY 24: Brian Kelleher celebrates after the conclusion of his bantamweight bout . [+] against Renan Barao of Brazil during the UFC Fight Night event at Amway Center on February 24, 2018 in Orlando, Florida. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

Aside from Modaferri, Brian Kelleher and Marcos de Lima are my picks for fighters on the wrong side of the DK salary scale. Jackson, who is Kelleher’s opponent, has some excellent skills, but he fell short against Ricky Simon in his last bout.

Simon is a strong wrestler who was able to subdue Jackson with his clinch and ground game. Kelleher has some similar skills, although he likes to strike a little more. He’s also faced tougher competition throughout his career and has proven he can rise to the occasion against those opponents.

Kelleher will be looking to bounce back from a tough TKO defeat at the hands of the hard-punching John Lineker in his last fight, and I like his chances against Jackson.

De Lima has had issues with opponents with a high level of skill on the ground for submissions. However, He still carries a ton of power in his hands, and he should be the quicker man. This is a long shot and the DK pick I feel the least confident in, de Lima has the striking prowess to score the kind of win you need to finish favorably in your contest.

DK Must-Haves

LAS VEGAS, NV – JULY 07: Daniel Cormier poses for a portrait backstage during the UFC 226 event . [+] inside T-Mobile Arena on July 7, 2018 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

Lewis may be a guy that fans can get behind because of his sense of humor and explosive power, but the fact is, he’s a poorly conditioned, one-trick pony going against a champion with almost no weaknesses. Cormier has never lost to anyone not named Jon Jones, and it’s highly unlikely we’ll see Lewis’ name added to that list.

Cormier averages 115.2 fantasy points per win, and you can bet he comes out on top in this one.

Cormier is going to show Lewis there are levels to the game. Expect a dominant show of wrestling, toughness and a win via finish in the first or second round.

Israel Adesanya has proven himself to be a future main-event attraction. On Saturday, he draws the very hittable Derek Brunson. While Brunson may possess the athleticism and wrestling to challenge Adesanya, his striking defense and chin are suspect.

The Last Style Bender is not the guy you want to face if that’s your weakness. I like Adesanya to score a win by early finish. It may not generate a ton of fantasy points if it gets out of the first round because Adesanya is an economical striker, but it’s one of the safest picks on the card.

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